Articles

When safety assumptions meet the aircraft.

Engineer-to-engineer analyses of accidents from the public record: what the safety analysis assumed, where the assumption stopped being true, and what a connected model asks instead. Every fact is from the published investigation.

The Concorde memorial at Gonesse
October 19, 2026 · 17 min read

Air France 4590: the words were "sufficiently low"

Air France 4590 and the Concorde tire burst: what the 1979 analysis rested on, why the trend line was not enough, and what a particular risk analysis is for.

Undelivered 737 MAX airplanes parked at Boeing Field, Seattle, April 2019
October 12, 2026 · 29 min read

737 MAX: the number that changed and the analysis that didn't

The 737 MAX MCAS change from 0.6 to 2.5 degrees, and the seven places it needed to reach but did not. The case for a digital thread in safety assessment.

United 232: the word was independent. Three hydraulic systems, separated by design. One place where all three ran within reach of the tail engine.
October 6, 2026 · 19 min read

United 232: the word was independent

United 232 lost all three DC-10 hydraulic systems to one fan disk. Why independence is a geometric claim first, and what a particular risks assessment asks.

Two systems in one bay: the fuel system and the hot air duct in the No. 7 Tank Dry Bay of Nimrod XV230
October 5, 2026 · 19 min read

Nimrod XV230: the hazard was on the list

Nimrod XV230: a fuel leak met a hot duct in one bay. Hazard H73 was identified, left open and called tolerable. Why no single analysis failed.

The NTSB reconstruction of TWA flight 800 built from recovered wreckage
September 28, 2026 · 15 min read

TWA 800: two things nobody drew together

TWA 800 was lost between two correct statements: a low energy gauging circuit and a nearly empty tank. The AND gate nobody had to defend, under ARP4761A.

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